It’s not a matter of if, but when. And when is November 6, 2018.
The Republicans are about to lose at least one house of Congress, at least that’s the growing sentiment from those who watch the number and read the tea leaves.
The latest comes from Washington inside- extraordinaire Mike Allen of Axios who writes this morning:
“Top Republicans sound increasingly resigned to losing a special House election in Pennsylvania Trump Country a week from today after party-affiliated groups spent more than $9 million on a race that should be a “gimme.”
Democrats may have already won the House https://t.co/RzFAMsmEdZ
— Axios (@axios) March 5, 2018
And that’s just the beginning. Allen has interesting analysis from a D.C. research group which sees red flags for the GOP.
It all begins tomorrow in Texas with the first-in-the-nation primary. Early voting has been through the roof for Democrats.
And then on March 13, all eyes turn to conservative southwestern Pennsylvania where the aforementioned Democrat actually stands a chance in a House special election. The district consists of Pittsburgh suburbs and runs into coal mining country. Trump carried it by almost 20 points in 2016 but the Democratic candidate has shown surprising strength and may pull off an upset.
Keep your eyes on March 13 special election in southwestern PA's 18th Congressional District: Race is too close to call despite Republicans outspending Democrats 13 to 1, in district Trump carried by 20 points. Trump to campaign in #PA18 on March 10. https://t.co/paXXOxOeAj
— John D. Woodward (@johndwoodward) March 2, 2018